Authentic Justin Evans Jersey , Part 1 Football Outsiders (FBO) recently published some of their results on 2017 wide receiver routes by defense-adjusted
value over average (DVOA), which is simply an attempt to value a player on a
per-down basis, and is expressed as a percentage above or below average.What FBO
has done is take a receiver’s (a few RBs and TEs show up) per-down (DVOA) and
total (DYAR - defense-adjusted yards above replacement) value for the twelve
most common routes in the NFL: curl, out, dig, slant, drag, go/fly, WR screen,
post, comeback, broken play, fade, and seam. In this article we will look at the
first six and tackle the last six in Part 2. Because that’s an insane amount of
information, FBO only focused on the roughly 20-30 or so receivers that ran
these routes the most.From this information, we can see who was good at what
route, who was bad, and perhaps even where a team might be using routes they
probably shouldn’t as much or routes they could use more. Patterns can also
emerge that tell us about the scheme. Because receiver numbers are to a small
extent inherently derivative from a quarterback, it also gives us a little bit
of a peek into their performance as well. Let’s go down the list:CURLThe curl is
a big play in the Buccaneer’s offense. Only one Buc makes the list here though
and it’s Mike Evans, who was targeted on the curl route 30 times, the
second-most in the NFL. Unfortunately, out of the 21 receivers who caught curls
the most, Evans was the third-worst in value. Also, Evans’ 1.2 YAC average was
the 3rd worst behind T.Y. Hilton and the ancient Jason Witten. Looking back to
2016, not much has changed. Evans is still the only Buc that shows up, and his
YAC and average depth of target is about the same. But, his value on curls was
8th best - it appears his catch percentage fell from 69.2 percent in 2016 to
56.7 percent in 2017. The reason is probably a mix between ball placement and
Evans needing to do a better job using his frame to shield defenders from the
ball. It’s also important to keep in mind as we go down this list that Evans’
frame prevents him from being as good of a route runner as other players ( and
that’s ok). Routes that allow him to use his frame should be his bread and
butter.QUICK OUTOf the 26 players who were targeted on quick out routes the
most, none were Buccaneers. The Bucs did not have any players on the 2016 list
either.DIGThe dig is a staple of Dirk Koetter’s offense. It is a play that often
nets a big reward but can lead to quarterbacks taking more hits as it is a long
and slow-developing route, usually paired with a seven step drop or a similarly
timed but shortened drop from shotgun. Koetter often runs it iso, meaning it is
not packaged with another route to form a concept, like Mills, though he
sometimes does that too. When run iso it is just the receiver running a deep dig
or crossing route by themselves and up to him to get to his spot on time and the
quarterback to beat the coverages of the cornerback and safety with his eye
manipulation and throw. Because of this, the dig also comes with one of if not
the highest rate of interceptions in the league. Big risk
http://www.tampabaybuccaneersteamonline.com/beau-allen-jersey , big reward.Again, Evans is the only Tampa Bay player to make the list, with 14
such passes in 2017. Of the 24 players, Evans ranked 14th in value and had a
53.8 percent catch rate. His average depth of target was 12.9, third highest,
but his 0.4 YAC average was easily the worst. Clearly Evans struggles to gain
separation, which isn’t all that surprising. And the NFL is a contested catch
league, after all. But he could also do a much better job being more physical at
the catch point which might allow him to break tackles. Because the Bucs like to
run their routes deeper than most teams it’s possible safeties are also often in
the area, but that also means Evans is just a broken tackle or two from gaining
huge yards with no one else between him and the end zone. It’s one of the few
remaining holes in his game.In 2016 Evans had the worst dig value out of all
listed receivers, with a 43.5 percent catch rate, 12.5 average target depth, and
1.1 YAC. SLANTThe slant is a play with good value and a pretty good completion
rate. Evans is again the only Buccaneer to get enough targets to qualify. His
value was below average, but his catch rate and target depth were average. A
theme is emerging, as Evans’ YAC was 5th fewest out of the 30 players listed,
ahead of players like Zach Ertz, Kelvin Benjamin, and Roger Lewis. However,
that’s double his YAC average from 2016 and his value got better too.DRAGThe
drag is a shorter another short throw for the quarterback that yields a high
completion rate, often used in a Mesh concept that uses a rub to get one of the
receivers open for YAC. No Buccaneers show up on this list in 2017 or
2016.GO/FLYTwo Bucs show up - Evans and DeSean Jackson, but unfortunately they
are second-to-last and fourth-to-last in value, respectively. They had 21 total
targets, third-most behind just Pittsburgh (Antonio Brown and Martavis Bryant)
and Detroit (Marvin Jones and Kenny Golladay). A 25 percent catch rate is a
low-percentage play, among the lowest in the NFL. Jackson’s catch rate was 11.1
percent and Evans’ was even worse 9.1 percent, which, you don’t need me to tell
you is awful. Interestingly, Evans’ target depth was 29.1 but Jackson’s was
38.1, tied with Tyreek Hill and second deepest to just Bryant.Obviously, Jameis
Winston’s deep accuracy issues are at play here, as are a myriad of other
factors. This is a huge discussion and has been a major point of contention
among fans, but we’ll just hit the key points. First, in 2017 Winston actually
improved his accuracy over his 2016 season pretty much everywhere, and he was
the 11th most efficient deep ball thrower in the NFL last season. This is
largely because in today’s game anything past 16 air yards can be considered
deep, and secondly Winston earns most of his keep from 10 to 25 yards out as he
targets that area more often than almost all quarterbacks. However
Womens Carlton Davis Jersey , his accuracy past 35 yards isn’t good (ranked 15th from 30-34, 25th between 35-39, and 26th 40+). If your definition
of a deep ball is different then obviously this ranking will change for you.
It’s also worth noting completed passes longer than 50 yards are statistically
random and can’t be replicated from year to year. Winston’s deep ball mechanics
appear to have suffered his pre-draft work with QB guru George Whitfield and
haven’t been the same since. Lastly, it has to be noted that Winston suffered an
injury to his throwing shoulder in Week 3 of last season vs. the Minnesota
Vikings and did not look healthy until the last few weeks of the season. He has
improved in every year; did the injury rob us of seeing some of that improvement
in his deep ball, or did it just cover up a problem that’s still there? Or make
a bad problem look even worse? We will have to wait until Weeks 4 and 5 of this
season to find out. In 2016 Evans’ value was better but still below average, and
his catch rate was 20 percent, and Jackson’s value was the fourth-best in the
NFL. So the bottom line is this: the Bucs have a quarterback who struggles a
great deal to hit deep vertical passes, for whatever reason, but is nonetheless
operating in an offense that not only attempts these low-percentage passes at a
high rate, but also half the time at an extreme depth. What that says is the
team is repeatedly expecting their quarterback to do something he cannot do.
Something has to change.In Part 2 we will look at how the Bucs did with WR
screens, posts, comebacks, broken plays, fades, and seam routes.Notes and
highlights from the Buccaneers’ 30-27 loss to the Steelers - QB Ryan Fitzpatrick
finished the game going 30-of-50 for 411 yards with three touchdowns and three
interceptions.- Today’s game marked Fitzpatrick’s third consecutive contest with
at least 400 passing yards. He’s the first player in NFL history to post three
consecutive games of 400 or more passing yards.- Fitzpatrick has thrown for
1,221 passing yards through the first three games of the season. That is tied
for the second-most passing yards through the first three games of a season in
NFL history.MOST PASSING YARDS THROUGH FIRST THREE GAMES OF A SEASON(NFL
History)1. Tom Brady (NE)2011 1,3272. Ryan Fitzpatrick (TB) 2018 1,2212. Kurt
Warner (STL) 2000 1,2214. Drew Bledsoe (NE)1994 1,1665. Peyton Manning (DEN)2013
1,143- Fitzpatrick has 11 passing touchdowns through the first three games of
the season. That is tied for the third-most passing touchdowns through the first
three games of a season in NFL history.MOST PASSING TOUCHDOWNS THROUGH FIRST
THREE GAMES OF A SEASON(NFL History)1. Patrick Mahomes (KC) 2018 132. Peyton
Manning (DEN)2013 123. Ryan Fitzpatrick (TB) 2018 113. Tom Brady (NE)2011 115.
Eight tied10NFL RECORDS- Per NFL Communications and Ellias Sports Bureau, Mike
Evans (367 yards, three touchdowns) and DeSean Jackson(312 yards, three
touchdowns) are the first pair of teammates in NFL history to each record at
least 300 receiving yards and three touchdown catches through their team’s first
three games of a season.- The Buccaneers now have 1,420 yards of offense this
season, the seventh-most through the first three games of a season in NFL
history.MOST YARDS THROUGH FIRST THREE GAMES(NFL History) 1. New
England20111,6212. San Francisco19981,5993. St. Louis 20001,5184.
Denver20131,4605. L.A. Rams19511,4566. Buffalo 19911,4237. Tampa Bay20181,4208.
San Diego19841
Authentic Ryan Fitzpatrick Jersey ,4189. New England19941,38610. Philadelphia20131,385- The Buccaneers now have 1,202 passing yards this season,
the second-most through the first three games of a season in NFL history.MOST
PASSING YARDS THROUGH FIRST THREE GAMES OF A SEASON(NFL History) 1. New
England20111,3132. Tampa Bay20181,2023. St. Louis 20001,2014. Denver20131,1845.
New England19941,154- The Buccaneers have scored 102 points through the first
three games, a team record for the most points scored through the first three
games of a season.- Dating back to last season, the Buccaneers have totaled at
least 425 yards of offense in each of their past four games, extending their
franchise record. They join the L.A. Chargers (11/19/17-12/10/17) as the only
two teams to post at least four consecutive games with at least 425 yards of
offense since 2015.- The Buccaneers have totaled at least 390 net passing yards
in each of their past three games. They join the Pittsburgh Steelers
(11/8/15-11/29/15) as the only teams in NFL history to post three consecutive
games with at least 390 net passing yards.GAME NOTES- After the two teams traded
three-and-outs, the Buccaneers recorded an interception on Pittsburgh’s second
drive of the game, picking off Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger at the Tampa Bay
45-yard line, returning it two yards to the Buccaneers 47-yard line.- Over the
past three seasons (2016-18), Tampa Bay’s defense has been one of the best in
the NFL at taking the ball away, ranking fourth in the NFL in takeaways during
that span.NFL MOST TAKEAWAYS (2016-18)1.Baltimore Ravens 652.Kansas City Chiefs
613.Philadelphia Eagles604.Tampa Bay Buccaneers594.Los Angeles Chargers59- On
the ensuing Buccaneers possession, QB Ryan Fitzpatrickdrove the team 53 yards in
five plays, lasting 2:34, finishing with a four-yard touchdown pass from
Fitzpatrick to TE Cameron Brate.- The touchdown reception was the 18th of
Brate’s career, passing Gerald Carter and Keyshawn Johnson for the 10th-most in
Buccaneers history (CHART BELOW)- Brate has 15 touchdown receptions since the
start of the 2016 season, the third-most among NFL tight ends during that
span.2016-18 NFL MOST TOUCHDOWN RECEPTIONS - Tight Ends1.Kyle
RudolphMIN172.Jimmy Graham GB 163. Cam Brate TB154.Travis Kelce KC145.Zach Ertz
PHI 125.Rob Gronkowski NE125.Hunter HenryLAC12- In the second quarter, the
Buccaneers sacked Steelers QBBen Roethlisberger twice on the same drive. On
first down, DE Vinny Curry and DT Gerald McCoy teamed up to drop Roethlisberger
for a 10-yard loss. Then, one third-and-11, DEJason Pierre-Paul brought
Roethlisberger down for a six-yard loss. Curry now has 1.5 sacks this season and
23.0 in his career. McCoy now has 1.5 sacks this season and 49.0 in his career.-
McCoy has 41.5 sacks dating back to 2013, tied for the most among defensive
tackles during that span.2013-18 NFL SACK LEADERS – Defensive Tackles1. Gerald
McCoy (TB)41.52. Geno Atkins (CIN) 41.53. Aaron Donald (LAR)39.04. Jurrell Casey
(TEN) 36.55. Kawann Short (CAR) 31.5- Pierre-Paul added his second sack of the
game in the third quarter, bringing down Roethlisberger for a seven-yard loss on
third-and-three, and forcing a fumble that was recovered by Pittsburgh. This
marks Pierre-Paul’s 17th career game with multiple sacks and his first such game
with the Buccaneers. The forced fumble was his first this season and the 14th of
his career.- In the fourth quarter, Fitzpatrick threw his second touchdown of
the game, connecting with WR Chris Godwin on a four-yard score to end a 12-play,
63-yard
Authentic Ryan Smith Jersey , 5:00 drive.- Dating back to last season, Godwin has now caught a touchdown pass in each of the past four games, matching a
franchise record for consecutive games with a touchdown reception.-
Fitzpatrick’s third touchdown pass of the game came on Tampa Bay’s next drive,
when he threw a 24-yard touchdown to WR Mike Evans to finish a nine-play,
92-yard drive lasting 2:57.- Evans finished the game with six catches for 137
yards and the touchdown reception. This is his 15th career 100-yard game, tying
Mark Carrier for the most such games in Buccaneers history.- Evans now has three
touchdown catches this season and 35 in his career. His 35 touchdown receptions
are a new Buccaneers record, passing Jimmie Giles.MOST RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS –
Team History1. WR Mike Evans, 2014-Pres. 351. TE Jimmie Giles, 1978-86343. WR
Kevin House, 1980-85 314. WR Joey Galloway 2005-07 285. WR Mark Carrier, 1987-92
276. WR Mike Williams, 2010-13 257. TE Dave Moore, 1992-01, 2004-06 248. WR
Bruce Hill, 1987-91 239. WR Vincent Jackson, 2012-Pres. 2010. TE Cameron Brate,
2014-Pres.18- Evans’ now has 4,946 career receiving yards, passing Kevin House
for the second-most receiving yards in franchise history.MOST RECEIVING YARDS -
(Team History)1.WR Mark Carrier, 1987-92 5,0182.WR Mike Evans, 2014-Pres.
4,9463.WR Kevin House, 1980-86 4,9284.WR Vincent Jackson, 2012-20164,3265.TE
Jimmie Giles, 1978-864,300- Evans’ 367 receiving yards are the most ever by a
Buccaneers player through the first three games of the season. He currently
ranks second in the NFL in receiving yards, while teammate DeSean Jackson ranks
seventh.2018 NFL RECEIVING YARD LEADERS1. Michael Thomas (NO) 3982. Mike Evans
(TB)3673. Juju Smith-Schuster (PIT)3564. Adam Thielen (MIN)3385. Brandin Cooks
(LAR) 3366. Julio Jones (ATL)3297. DeSean Jackson (TB)3128. Tyreek Hill (KC)
3109. Alvin Kamara (NO)28910. Jarvis Landry (CLE) 2782018 NFL RECEIVING
TOUCHDOWN LEADERS1. A.J. Green (CIN) 41. Calvin Ridley (ATL) 43. Mike Evans
(TB)33. Chris Godwin (TB( 33. DeSean Jackson (TB)33. Davante Adams (GB)33.
Stefon Diggs (MIN)33. Tyreek Hill (KC) 33. Tyler Lockett (SEA) 33. Kenny Stills
(MIA) 33. Michael Thomas (NO) 33. Mike Williams (LAC)3
