USD/CAD has registered only a false breakdown below the PP (1.3564)
level and now has jumped above the major downtrend line and above the
61.8% Fibonacci level. A valid breakout above these levels will announce
a larger increase and a potential reversal.
You can see on the Daily chart that USD/CAD has developed a pin bar on
June 10, 2020, false breakdown with great separation below the lower
median line (LML) of the major ascending pitchfork and below the 1.3356
level, this formation has signaled that we could have a reversal on this
pair as long as the price stays within the ascending pitchforks body.
USD/CAD is trapped between the lower median line (LML) and the inside
sliding line (SL), the failure to come back to retest the lower median
line (LML) indicates strong buyers and a potential rally towards the
sliding parallel line (SL).
The currency pair could move higher within this up channel, between
LML and the SL, but I believe that a valid breakout above the downtrend
line could bring an upside breakout from this channel as well, above the
SL and above the R1 (1.3810).
A reversal, another leg higher, could be invalidated if USD/CAD will
make only a false breakout with great separation above the downtrend
line, this scenario could send the rate back towards the lower median
line (LML) of the major ascending pitchfork.
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USD/CAD has broken above the upper median line (uml) of the minor
descending pitchfork as well, so a valid breakout from this pitchfork
and above the downtrend line will signal a further upside movement, the
first target will be at the sliding line (SL).
A false breakout above the mentioned lines will keep the pair within
the minor down channel between the upper median line (uml) and the
median line (ml) of the minor descending pitchfork in the short term.